Race All the Way Down, Race All the Way Up: A Unifying Vocabulary for Bounded-Commit Dynamics Across Quantum, Classical, Biological, and Computational Substrates
Pødenphant Lund, T. (2026e) · Preprint · Live on Zenodo
Seven phenomena spanning ~40 orders of magnitude in characteristic timescale (qubit decoherence (10−15s), Drude electron transport (10−14s), chemical kinetics (10−9s), stochastic resonance (10−3s), Margolus-Levitin, encoding-friction (103s), Yerkes-Dodson (103-5s)) are conjectured to be organisable under one race-structural vocabulary. The inverted-U is kernel-conditional: monotone-survival kernels yield a single peak, while non-monotone kernels yield bimodal or U-shaped profiles. The Schwinger-Keldysh formalism admits a race-axiomatisation under three assumptions; falsification criterion specified. The cross-substrate mapping is an open hypothesis under active investigation, not an established result.
| DOI | 10.5281/zenodo.20014567 |
| Target venue | Synthese (primary) / European Journal for Philosophy of Science / Philosophy of Science |
| Status | v4.1 live on Zenodo; v4.2 in preparation; open research program |
| Length | ~18,500 words |
| Author | Tomas Pødenphant Lund [ORCID] |
TL;DR
Scope note: Friction Theory (Paper 1) is established for biological, cognitive, and computational substrates. This paper investigates whether FT's mathematical scaffolding extends to physics-scope substrates (quantum measurement, classical mechanics, thermodynamics). This is open research, not established FT content; Papers 1–6 do not depend on its results.
"Decision" in resource-bounded probabilistic systems is treated not as a mental or agentive primitive but as a recurring structural phenomenon described in shared vocabulary: the resolution of competing processes racing toward commit under a finite-time budget. The central structural prediction is kernel-conditional: a system satisfying R1 (parallel candidates) + R2 (bounded resources) + R3 (irreversible commit) with a monotone-survival kernel exhibits a single-peaked inverted U on its evaluation-to-commit rate; non-monotone kernels can instead yield bimodal or U-shaped profiles (the Wallace counterexample, treated as a scope-condition rather than a refutation). In the monotone case: too low a rate yields no information processing; too high a rate yields noise-dominated commit; only the intermediate rate maximises information throughput.
Seven apparently independent physical and cognitive phenomena are conjectured to be organisable under this single race-structural vocabulary, spanning forty orders of magnitude in characteristic timescale:
- Qubit decoherence-window
- Ohm's law / Drude electron transport
- Chemistry / biochemistry molecular kinetics
- Stochastic resonance
- Margolus-Levitin energy-density trade-off
- Encoding-friction in learning
- Yerkes-Dodson arousal-performance curve
| Phenomenon | Timescale (s) | Substrate | Race variable | Peak / optimum | Above-optimum failure mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qubit decoherence-window | 10−15 | Quantum (superconducting / atomic) | Phase-coherent commit rate | Coherence-decoherence trade-off | Premature einselection / noise commit |
| Drude electron transport (Ohm) | 10−14 | Solid-state conductor | Carrier scattering rate | Mean free path / scattering balance | Resistance-dominated regime |
| Molecular kinetics | 10−9 | Chemistry / biochemistry | Encounter-to-reaction rate | Diffusion-reaction balance | Diffusion-limited or runaway reaction |
| Stochastic resonance | 10−3 | Noisy nonlinear oscillator | Noise amplitude | Signal-noise constructive interference | Noise washes out signal |
| Margolus-Levitin bound | varies (energy-set) | Any computational substrate | Energy density | Max ops per joule | Thermodynamic dissipation cap |
| Encoding-friction (learning) | 103 | Biological neural / artificial neural | Encoding rate per fact | Trace-cut depth optimum | Trace collapse / overwriting |
| Yerkes-Dodson | 103-5 | Whole-organism behaviour | Arousal level | Mid-arousal performance peak | Hypo- or hyperarousal degradation |
"Race all the way down, race all the way up" is offered as a shared structural vocabulary across scales, not a claim that the substrates are identical: the same bounded-commit description recurs across different observables.
The paper then refines the three race-rules R1–R3 to a five-axiom formulation (A1–A5), and shows that the Schwinger-Keldysh formalism admits this race-axiomatisation under three assumptions: A1–A5 can be read onto the closed-time-path generating functional of a bipartite quantum system with einselected pointer basis and Markovian environment. Within the same formalism the following are exhibited as parameter-regimes:
- The Feynman path integral (quantum coherent limit)
- Onsager-Machlup stochastic dynamics (classical thermal limit)
...as parameter-regimes of one formalism. The CR-signal in large language models is treated separately as a substrate-mapping that provides empirical access to the race description, an empirical anchor rather than a regime of the formalism. The organisational point is that classical and quantum "decisions" can be described in the same bounded-commit vocabulary, not that they are metaphysically the same.
Substrate-agnostic clock-rate is bounded by Margolus-Levitin (maximum commit-rate) and commit-cost by Landauer (minimum energy per bit). Three hard problems (interference, linearity vs. nonlinearity, reversibility) are engaged honestly: the framework relocates rather than solves the measurement problem, from "why does superposition collapse?" to "why does race resolve?", the same problem in a new coordinate system, with potential tractability gains identified in §7.
The paper proposes no new physics; it presents existing mathematics (Martin-Siggia-Rose, Schwinger-Keldysh, Feynman-Vernon, Zurek einselection, Noether) organised under race as a lens, with concrete empirical anchor in LLM-substrate measurement and the kernel-conditional inverted-U pattern across seven substrate scales.
Falsification criterion: an identifiable system with R1+R2+R3 architecture and without an inverted U on its evaluation rate would falsify the structural core.
Companion papers
- Paper 1 (Friction Theory) — established-scope foundation (biological, cognitive, computational); Paper 10 extends scaffolding to physics-scope
- Paper 0 (BFT) — biological instantiation of the same architecture